Current Trends in the Fall Housing Market
Connor Jacquart

As we move into autumn, the housing market is experiencing seasonal changes — it's cooler than recent years but remains active. The rapid price surges and intense competition of past years have given way to a more balanced market. Buyers have a bit more breathing room, and sellers are adjusting to these new dynamics as the year draws to a close.

Let’s explore what's happening nationally, delve into what the statistics truly imply, and provide insights on how both buyers and sellers can successfully navigate the remainder of 2025.

Current Market Overview

The autumn market offers a combination of stability and gradual adjustments. Nationwide, here’s the snapshot:

Median listing price: $425,000, stable compared to last year and down 1.2% from last month.

Sale-to-list price ratio: 98.4%, with 23.2% of homes selling above the listing price.

Typical time on market: 62 days, a week longer than last year at this time.

Price reductions: 19.9% of listings had price cuts in September, notably in the $350,000 to $500,000 range.

Inventory: Up 17.0% from last year, marking the 23rd consecutive month of growth. However, inventory growth has decelerated since May and remains 13.9% below pre-pandemic levels.

Interpreting the Data

Homes are taking longer to sell, and nearly one-fifth of listings have experienced price reductions, especially mid-tier homes. Although prices remain steady, the overall market tone has shifted. The frenzy has subsided, with fewer bidding wars, allowing buyers more time to make thoughtful decisions.

The 98.4% sale-to-list ratio indicates that appropriately priced homes continue to receive solid offers. While increasing inventory benefits buyers by providing more options, sellers face increased competition and must strategize effectively.

Supply remains tight. Many homeowners are “locked in” at low mortgage rates from recent years, preferring to stay rather than part with a 3% loan. This imbalance, with limited supply and steady demand, helps prevent significant price drops even as activity slows.

Tips for Buyers: Navigating This Autumn

If you're buying, now through early November is the prime window to act. Reduced buyer activity equates to enhanced negotiating opportunities before the holidays. Leverage the market trend of nearly 20% of listings experiencing price cuts. Consider asking for seller-paid perks like credits, repairs, or mortgage rate buydowns.

Prepare for potential rate changes. Run your budget scenarios at both 6.3% and 6.8% rates to avoid surprises. Investigate listings that have lingered on the market for 30–45 days, as these might offer price flexibility. Keep contingencies intact; with more time to sell, there's less urgency to waive inspections or financing clauses. As Danielle Hale from Realtor.com® notes, “More choices mean less pressure to rush into a decision or waive contingencies, offering greater chances to find a home that suits both lifestyle and budget.”

Selling Strategies: Stand Out This Season

Price your home in line with today's market, not last year's. Median prices are level with 2024, and pricing too high at the start often leads to future reductions. Homes priced correctly from the outset tend to sell faster and closer to the asking price.

Capitalize on the initial weeks. Homes that sell quickly often achieve 98–99% of the asking price. Utilize professional photography, good lighting, and enhance curb appeal. Consider creative buyer incentives, such as a small interest rate buydown or closing cost credits, to attract attention, especially in a rate-sensitive market.

Allow for an extended timeline; with homes staying on the market for an average of 62 days, plan your next steps carefully. Enhance your appeal by removing obstacles like inspection issues, performing necessary repairs, and offering flexible closing terms. Buyers are more attracted to listings that are straightforward and well-presented.

Considering Buying or Selling Before Year-End?

From now through early December, motivated buyers and sellers have a distinct window to act.

For buyers, the reduced competition and increased inventory create an opportune moment to seize value before the market slows down for the holidays.

For sellers, there are still serious and pre-approved buyers eager to close deals before the year ends. With accurate pricing and effective presentation, your home can excel even in a more tempered market.

The market may have cooled this fall but is far from freezing. Whether deciding your next steps or ready to proceed, the best move is to seek personalized advice tailored to your area. Feel free to reach out whenever — we’d be happy to share local insights and help you confidently plan your next move.